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Andy Lang

Andy Lang

(308945) North Dakota State at (308946) Colorado

Event:
(308945) North Dakota State at (308946) Colorado
Sport/League:
CFB
Date/Time:
August 29, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-104
Play:
2% – North Dakota State over 24.5 -104 Fanduel
Result:
Win
Analysis

I played this at Fanduel, but it's up at Draftkings, Bovada and a few others at the time of posting this.

 

North Dakota St OVER 24.5

This is a really good NDSU team that went 11-4 last year, and while they lost a few offensive linemen, their quarterbacks return along with their running game that averaged 237 yards on the ground.  The team returns 27 seniors, and in all 11 of their wins, they went over this team total last year.  I love this veteran team to have success against a Colorado defense that ranked 127th out of 130 teams in yards per game allowed.  They allowed 9 teams to go over this total against them last year, and they only have 6 players returning on defense.  Both sides of the ball have a lot of inexperience playing together, and against an NDSU team that has so many seniors, and confidence in their run game, NDSU is a live dog here, and I think they’ll have no problem moving the ball and scoring points against this defense.  The Colorado offense is going to move the ball and score points as well, so when NDSU gets in close they’ll be going for TD’s and not field goals to keep up, which is what we want.  There are way too many questions about this Colorado defense to trust them to consistently stop NDSU, and taking Colorado opponent's TT over was a solid strategy last year, I’ll gladly start off the year by fading the Colorado defense.

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