CJ Stroud OVER 1.5 TD Passes

The Colts are my third secondary to fade this season as they don’t have much talent outside of Kenny Morre II and Julian Blackmon, and Stroud loved facing them last season as he threw for 2 TD’s in each game and had 384 and 264 yards in those games with no interceptions.  With a full year of experience, and with Nico Collins, Tank Dell and newly acquired Stefon Diggs healthy, I expect a big air attack from the Texans.  Stroud should have a big game with 2+ TD passes.

Andre Petroski -330 v Dylan Budka

Budka fought on Contender Series against Chad Honekom, and Chad made it the most boring fight in Contender Series history (he later failed a drug test), and Dana White felt so bad for Budka that he gave him a chance in the UFC, and Budka was horrific.  He took Cesar Almeida down early in the fight, did nothing with it, tried to do the same in the second, but was so tired and bad that he got knocked out by Almeida.  Bottom line:  Budka is awful, and is not UFC caliber, and the one thing he does well…takedowns…is what Petroski can defend.  Petroski isn’t a great striker, his cardio is suspect, but he’s better everywhere than Budka, and we just kind of know who Petroski is and what his ceiling is.  He'll probably have success on the feet before Budka shoots in, but Petroski should be able defend and separate and just wait for Budka to get tired where Petroski can strike or even get the takedown himself.   Budka fighting at 185, and Dana said he should probably be fighting at 170, and he’s actually fought at heavyweight before so this guy can't even figure out what weigh division he should be fighting in.  This should be Petroski's fight to win.