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Andy Lang

Andy Lang

UFC Parlay

Event:
UFC Parlay
Sport/League:
MMA
Date/Time:
September 7, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-149
Play:
2% – Lima/Dos Santos WILL START ROUND 2 -750 + Rongzhu/Padilla WILL START ROUND 2 -340 + Dulgarian/Marotte will NOT start round 3 -700...Final Price -149
Result:
Win
Analysis

Lima/Dos Santos WILL START ROUND 2 -750 + Rongzhu/Padilla WILL START ROUND 2 -340 + Dulgarian/Marotte will NOT start round 3 -700...Final Price -149

 

Lima/Dos Santos WILL START ROUND 2 -750

 

I think this is a really competitive fight where I don't see either guy having a big advantage somewhere so an early finish is unlikely.  Lima's Contender Series went the distance, and so did his last fight against Mitch Raposo, and even the fight where he got bit and his opponent was DQ'd started round 2.  Dos Santos took Kape and Altamirano to the distance so this play is 4-0 in UFC fights for these guys.  Dos Santos has a reach advantage and will jab from distance while Lima will be circling and picking his spots to jump in and strike.  Neither guys has been finished, I like this to start round 2.

Rongzhu/Padilla WILL START ROUND 2 -340

The line suggests this will be a close fight, and I agree.  This is Rongzhu's second run in UFC, and in his first run he was in his early 20's, and although he went 1-2, all fights made it to round 3.  This time around in the Road To UFC, he's shown really good patience when facing tough opponents, he sets up his attacks, and he's not jumping in and putting himself in danger.  Padilla has face some bad fighters in his career, and he has a lot of finishes on his resume, but Rongzhu is his biggest step up.  He has KO and Submission wins, but Rongzhu is way more athletic and mature than the guys he's been finishing.  Padilla's last 2 losses are by decision so he's not getting finished in his fights, I think these guys have a pretty calculated, close fight that lasts a while.

 

Dulgarian/Marotte will NOT start round 3 -700

Dulgarian is probably going to finish Marotte quick, but we'll take the under here just in case Marotte lands a hail mary shot that KO's Dulgarian early.  Marotte is one of the worst 3 fighters on the entire UFC roster, and in his UFC debut he got knocked out in 20 seconds.  Dulgarian will be able to take Marotte down and do whatever he wants on the ground so he probably wins by ground and pound or by submission, but just in case Marotte shocks the world with an early KO (the only way he can win), we'll take this fight to end in the first or second round.

 

 

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