(4%) UNDER iowa/ohio state. While I certainly respect the Ohio State offense, I'm expecting this one to result in a defensive battle. The Buckeyes concede just 6.8 points per game, the #1 mark in the nation. Ohio State also allows just 196.5 yards per game, the second fewest in the country. The Buckeyes have been particularly dominant defensively in the second half of games. They're determined to bring that level of defense to the first half. Coach Ryan Day commented: “We want to get stops. We want to force three-and-outs.” The Hawkeyes also rank in the top 20 in the country in terms of points and yards allowed. When it has the ball, Iowa is going to run as much as it possibly can. The Hawkeyes want to keep that clock moving and the Ohio State offense on the sidelines. *Good at 4% at 46 or better. Reduce to 3% if number is in the 44-45.5 range.