3% ML Parlay Nebraska (4:00 ET) and Georgia Tech (8:00 ET): Gonna fade the two undefeated teams that are underdogs of a TD or more this week. I just can’t see Rutgers or Duke winning this weekend on the road. 

Let’s start with the Rutgers-Nebraska game. Rutgers (4-0 SU) was VERY fortunate to win last week at home against Washington as they benefited from three missed FGs, not to mention a costly Washington penalty (for celebration) after their own FG attempt was blocked. The Scarlet Knights scored a TD on the next play (after the blocked FG), but still ended up outgained 521-299 in the 21-18 victory. This is a team that’s strong at the LOS, but the Nebraska defense is giving up just 85.4 rush yards and 12.2 points per game. Rutgers struggled to run the ball against Va Tech two weeks ago and it’s going to be difficult to pass here as it’s expected to be VERY windy in Lincoln Saturday afternoon. No doubt the Cornhuskers are stronger on the offensive side of the ball, thanks to freshman QB Dylan Raiola, and they should not struggle to move the ball on the ground against a Rutgers’ defense that is outside the top 100 nationally against the run. Since these teams became Big 10 rivals, Nebraska is 5-0 SU head to head. This could be the elusive “close win” for a Cornhuskers team that is 8-31 SU in one-score games since 2018. That is why I am playing the money line here. 

Turning to Duke-Georgia Tech, I think we have a pretty fraudulent 5-0 Blue Devils team on our hands here. Last week, Duke overcame a 20-0 second half deficit against North Carolina, which followed close wins over the likes of Northwestern (needed two OTs) and UConn (won by only 5). Duke’s other wins have been against Elon (FCS) and Middle Tennessee (awful). So not at all surprised to see the market has moved against Manny Diaz’s team this week as they face Georgia Tech, who is rested. Two weeks ago, the Yellow Jackets were a little unlucky to lose in Louisville as they allowed two non-offensive TDs in a game they had the total yardage edge (410-326). I’ve really liked the offense with QB Haynes King completing 74% of his passes and averaging 5.2 yards per carry as a runner. The Yellow Jackets’ offensive line has also yet to allow a sack this season, key against a Duke defense that has been “living in the backfield” against their previously overmatched opponents. GT HC Brent Key is 10-1 SU off a SU loss and the Jackets should be ready to “rock n’ roll” off a bye. 3% Parlay - Nebraska ML + Georgia Tech ML (Play to -135)