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Drew Martin

Drew Martin

(185) Miami Florida at (186) Florida

Event:
(185) Miami Florida at (186) Florida
Sport/League:
CFB
Date/Time:
August 31, 2024 3PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
125
Play:
2% – Florida +125
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Extended client only play. 

Game 1 set for 3:30 eastern on ABC featuring a Sunshine State rivalry between Miami and Florida. Both teams come into the matchup with changes from last year and each is ranked in the top 10 nationally in terms of off season portal transfers into the program. Although, the Gators will likely have an easier time in transition in the first game. The reasons being, Miami landed one of the top transfers in the country at the QB position in Cam Ward. The Washington State transfer is playing in a new system that was not all that friendly to last year's starter, preseason heisman watch list QB Tyler Van Dyke. 1st year QB, new system, game 1, on the road in a hostile environment is a tough task. The Gators return virtually their entire coaching staff with their starting QB Gram Mertz. Mertz shattered UF’s single-season completion percentage record (72.9%) and posted a 20:3 touchdown-interception ratio. In his second season in the same system, setting up for continued success. 

Coaching advantage points to Billy Napier over Mario Cristobal. Napier was two time Sun Belt Conference coach of the year. Napier took the Ragin' Cajuns to unprecedented heights when the team broke into the national rankings in 2020 for the first time in the modern era. Cristobal is known for recruiting, actually his on the field coaching might be the worst in the country. Multiple head scratching decisions leading to losses that could have been wins over the last couple of years. (Remember that ending to the Georgia Tech game last season). Sizable strategic coaching advantage points to Florida. 

Lastly, Cam Ward has not played in very many atmospheres like he will be involved in on Saturday. I know “The Swamp” has not been the most feared stadium in the country recently due to the lack of winning. However, this is the first game of the season, hosting an in state rival with Tom Petty blasting. It is going to be electric. Cam Ward has lost 5 straight road games and in his last one threw 2 interceptions in a wild atmosphere in the Apple Cup. Great way to start off the season, going to be a fun year. Florida surprises Miami, bet Florida outright. 

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