The home dog is barking in a “Ride the hot and fade the cold” situation. Cleveland catching the (+100) price is the play. Matt Boyd has been straight cash for the Guardians. The lefty has not given up more than 1 earned run in any of his last four starts and has a (2.10) ERA on the season. Pablo Lopez has been decent overall for the Twins, however one of his worst outings of the year was against this Guardians lineup, giving up 4 runs and only posting 2 strikeouts. 

Cleveland comes in winning two straight and five of their last seven overall as opposed to the Twins dropping six of their last nine overall. The Guardians are one of the most profitable teams in baseball up double digit units year to date, as opposed to Minnesota down double digit units. Plus price for the Guardians is the play.