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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(915) Toronto Blue Jays at (916) Boston Red Sox

Event:
(915) Toronto Blue Jays at (916) Boston Red Sox
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
August 27, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-136
Play:
4% – Boston Red Sox -136 Action
Result:
Win
Analysis

7:10 PM ET -- MLB 

915 Toronto Blue Jays 
916 Boston Red Sox

Play: 916 BOSTON -136

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters: 
4% play at -145 or better 
3% play at -146 to -150 
2% play at -151 to -155

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play ON teams that have lost at least their last 3 games if it's not the first game of a series, they were a larger favorite than -143 in their previous game, and they're a larger favorite than -143 in the current game.  36-0 since 8/26/2023.

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