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1:40 PM ET -- MLB 

977 Pittsburgh Pirates 
978 Cleveland Guardians

Play: 978 CLEVELAND -143  

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters: 
4% play at -150 or better 
3% play at -151 to -160  
2% play at -161 to -165

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play AGAINST teams in the last game of a tied series as long as they're not a favorite of -114 or more, if they lost as a favorite in their current starter's previous start.  27-9 (75%) this season.