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6:40 PM ET -- MLB 

955 Washington Nationals 
956 Pittsburgh Pirates

Play: UNDER 8.5  -110

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters: 
4% play at 8 or better 
3% play at 7.5
2% play at 7

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play UNDER on National League home teams that are allowing an average of at least 4.5 runs per game if their opponent's starter allowed at least 7 runs in his previous start.  51-21-4 (71%) since 2020.