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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(957) Colorado Rockies at (958) Milwaukee Brewers

Event:
(957) Colorado Rockies at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
September 7, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-135
Play:
3% – Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-135) Action
Result:
Win
Analysis

7:10 PM ET -- MLB 

957 Colorado Rockies 
958 Milwaukee Brewers

Play: 958 MILWAUKEE -1.5  -135

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at -140 or better 
2% play at -141 to -145

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play ON teams that have lost at least their last 3 games if it's not the first game of a series, they were a larger favorite than -143 in their previous game, and they're a larger favorite than -143 in the current game.  37-0 since 8/26/2023.  27-10 (73%) on the Run Line.
Average Score: Team 6.8, Opponent 2.5 

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