4:25 PM ET -- NFL

473 Washington Commanders 
474 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Play OVER 42.5 (-110)

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters:
3% play at +43 or better
2% play at +43.5 to 44

New Bucs offensive coordinator Liam Coen's system consists of a solid run/pass balance with no-huddle and quick decision-making.  QB Baker Mayfield performed well during the preseason, showing a liking and comfort in Coen's system.  Coen's approach has also helped the offensive line considerably.  They'll be facing a Washington defense with a new coordinator and new personnel, which could take some time to gel.  

Washington's Jayden Daniels was the best-performing rookie QB in the preseason.  Kliff Kingsbury is in charge of the offense.  When he called plays in Arizona, the Cardinals were #2 in tempo in each of his first two seasons.  They also passed the ball more than most teams.  I expect more of that quick-tempo, pass-heavy offense here.