7:05 PM ET -- MLB 

957 Kansas City Royals 
958 New York Yankees

Play: 958 NY YANKEES -175

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 2%

Line Parameters: 
2% play at -190 or better

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play ON favorites of -110 or more that are outscoring opponents by an average of at least .5 runs per game if there has been a total of 3 or fewer runs scored in each of their last two games.
40-7 (85%) since 2020.
Average Score: Team 5.85, Opponent 3.15

Play ON home favorites that draw an average of at least 4 walks per game if they're coming off a game in which no more than 3 total runs were scored.
40-9 (82%) since 2021. 
Average Score: Team 5, Opponent 2.8

Play ON home teams with a win percentage better than 54.5% if they have scored and allowed 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 3 games and they're coming off a game in which no more than 3 total runs were scored. 
29-3 (91%) since 2020. 
Average Score: Team 5.7, Opponent 3