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Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant

(927) St. Louis Cardinals at (928) Toronto Blue Jays

Event:
(927) St. Louis Cardinals at (928) Toronto Blue Jays
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
September 14, 2024 3PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
115
Play:
4% – St. Louis Cardinals +115 Action
Result:
Loss
Analysis

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3:07 PM ET -- MLB 

927 St. Louis Cardinals 
928 Toronto Blue Jays

Play: 927 ST. LOUIS +115

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 4%

Line Parameters: 
4% play at +105 or better 
3% play at -105 to +104
2% play at -106 to -110

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.  

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE(S):

Play ON underdogs smaller than +130 if they're coming off a loss as an underdog in which they had more hits than their season average, and their starter produced a Quality Start in his last start.
30-6 (83.3%) since May 9th.
Average Line: +113.5
78.2% ROI (Return On Investment)
Average Score: Team 5.75, Opponent 3.83

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