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Noon ET -- College Football

151 Oklahoma State 
152 Kansas State

Play 152 KANSAS STATE -5 (-110)

Bet Size: 5%

Line Parameters:
5% play at -6 or better 
4% play at -6.5
3% play at -7
2% play at -7.5

My love of backing teams coming off misleading losses takes me to Manhattan, KS.  The Wildcats got crushed by BYU last weekend, 38-9.  Very misleading score.  K-State out-gained BYU by 126 total yards, but a -3 turnover margin proved costly.  Two of those turnovers directly led to scores, a 30-yard fumble-return TD and a 90-yard fumble-return TD.  

Oklahoma State is also coming off a bit of a misleading scoreboard.  The Cowboys lost at home to Utah, 22-19.  The game wasn't as close as that final score would seem to indicate.  The Cowboys scored a pair of TDs in the game's final 6 minutes.  The reality is, Utah dominated that game.  Utah out-gained Okie State by 171 total yards, had 201 more rushing yards, and had a 42:26 to 17:34 time-of-possession edge.

I expect both of those misleading scoreboards to get straightened out in this one.  The icing on the cake: Marc Lawrence tells us that Kansas State is 18-0 ATS when they own a win percentage of at least .375 and are coming off a double-digit ATS loss.  Lay it.