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1:08 PM ET -- MLB 

953 Detroit Tigers 
954 Cleveland Guardians

Play: 953 DETROIT +130  

List Pitchers: ACTION                          

Bet Size: 3%

Line Parameters: 
3% play at +120 or better 
2% play at +110 to +119 

My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from fangraphs.com), history involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data.  A play is made when enough of these factors align.  The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.

There isn't a hotter MLB team right now than Detroit.  Going into Houston and taking two straight games gives them some huge momentum heading into this series and I think that carries through here in Game 1.  The Guardians may have won the season series 7-6, but Detroit outscored them 60 to 50.  This is another situation where the layoff may affect the host.  Tanner Bibee had an unimpressive 4.50 ERA in four starts against these Tigers this season.  I'm riding the hot team in this one.