The Twins have had an enormous amount of success with 2 outs lately, something that’s obviously not sustainable as they continue their series in Cleveland. Bailey Ober is also not in good form entering this matchup, having allowed 5 earned last time out against the Reds. Minnesota has lost 4 of the past 5 times he’s taken the mound and he’s had mixed results this season against Cleveland, getting roughed up once with a quality outing in the other. Tanner Bibee enters off a quality start and has had great success against this Twins’ lineup. Bibee has faced Minnesota 3 times, giving up just 1 run in each start against them. There is also a huge bullpen advantage here, as Cleveland has the best ERA in the majors on the year. Take the Guardians. 

4% Play on Guardians (916) at -125 or better, 3% at worse than -125