This bet is being made with the assumption that Justin Herbert won’t be playing. High ankle sprains are a painful injury that take time to recover from, so it’s a good thing the Chargers have a veteran backup with plenty of starting experience in Taylor Heinicke. Jim Harbaugh’s coaching style isn’t about having the quarterback make a bunch of big yardage plays downfield. Before the draft he said he viewed offensive linemen as playmakers, and that’s exactly the old school style he brought to LA. JK Dobbins will get a heavy workload, and he’ll likely be successful because the Chiefs are not a team known for stopping the run. Last year they ranked near the bottom of the NFL in rush DVOA and the same was true 2 weeks into the season. It’s also fair to say that KC could easily be 1-2. The Ravens had a toe out of bounds in week 1 and they won on a field goal to end the game vs the Bengals, who were just annihilated on MNF. LA’s defense is well rounded and strong. They rank 3rd in ppg allowed, 6th in opponent rushing yards and are top 10 against the pass. Patrick Mahomes told the media his team hasn’t played well up to this point, and I have to agree with him. Way too much of a market overreaction based on the status of Herbert. Take the Chargers. 

3% Play on Chargers (286) at +7 or better, 2% at +6.5 or worse