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Mark Zinno

Mark Zinno

(951) Washington Nationals at (952) Miami Marlins

Event:
(951) Washington Nationals at (952) Miami Marlins
Sport/League:
MLB
Date/Time:
September 3, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-103
Play:
3% – (951) Washington Nationals at (952) Miami Marlins Total Over 8.5 (-103) P Corbin (LHP), M Meyer (RHP) Must Start
Result:
Loss
Analysis

The Nationals are in Miami to start a series with the Marlins. Patrick Corbin starts for Washington. Corbin's ERA on the road is nearly 2 full runs higher than at home. Opposing hitters are batting .351 against him. The Marlins offense, since August 1st has hit the second most home runs against lefties at home. They are 5th in OPS and 6th in wRC+ over that span and 7th in runs scored at home against lefties. They should be able to get to Corbin early. Miami starts Max Meyer. Meyer allowed less than four runs in just one of his last six starts. He's also given up 9 home runs over those six starts with a 1.69 WHIP. The Nationals offense has been pretty lifeless on the road since the beginning of August, but I'm hopeful they will be able to break out here. Both of these bullpens are bottom 10 in bullpen ERA on the season. Three of the four previous games in Miami between these two went over this total. I think we see runs scored here. 

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