The Phillies start a series with the Brewers in Milwaukee. We rarely see the Phillies at this price this season, but this number is like this for a reason. The Brewers pound left-handed pitching at home this season on the whole. But I'm willing to go against them here because Ranger Suarez is the lefty that's starting and Milwaukee is only batting .176 against lefties at home since August 1st with a 25% strikeout rate. The Phillies bats will face Aaron Civale, who despite having better numbers at home, has still given up half of his home runs at home this season. That's a bad recipe against a good, power-hitting team like the Phillies. Philadelphia is 17-7 when Suarez starts and he gets 5.46 runs of support per start and Suarez has actually been better on the road.