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Mark Zinno

Mark Zinno

(301) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (302) Atlanta Falcons

Event:
(301) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (302) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League:
NFL
Date/Time:
October 3, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-120
Play:
3% – Buccaneers +7.5/Bengals +8.5
Result:
Pending
Analysis

The Falcons host the Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football. All four of the Falcons games have been decided by 5 points or less. I don't see that changing here. Atlanta is 26th in time of possession and 31st in 3rd down conversion percentage. They have punted or settled for a FG on 61% of their drives this season. But the Falcons defense, in particular their pass defense has been very good. They aren't giving up chunk yards to opposing teams. I feel comfortable that the Falcons can contain an efficient Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans. 

The Bengals host the Ravens in Cincinnati. Joe Burrow has always played week against the Ravens averaging 268 yards passing with 12 TDs and just 4 INTS in 7 games. Burrow is 2-1 against the Ravens at home in his career with the loss coming last year in week 2. It's well noted that the Bengals have been notoriously slow starters to the season under Zac Taylor. The four total losses under Burrow against the Ravens, only one was by double-digits. The Bengals are desperate and losing a 4th game in the first five weeks may put the nail in their coffin by the first Sunday in October. They will keep this one close. 

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