MLS

(209909) Inter Miami at (209910) Atlanta United

Have a few plays coming for tonight…

This has become an auto play with Miami and now with Messi back in the fold, even more so.  Miami wins by attacking, that means they push forward and score goals which leaves them vulnerable at the back.  They have kept six clean sheets in 36 matches in all comps this season.

Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz stadium is a much different team than on the road.  They have been blanked only twice at home this season and we know they aren't keeping a clean sheet versus Miami, and really, vice versa.  

Miami has created 43.2 xG while allowing 43.3 xGA.  For a team to be leading the Conference by ten points with a negative xG differential is remarkable.  But they have scored 20 more goals than expected and that's what the best player in the world can do for you.  He scores more than they average player in similar situations, but their defense shouldn't be trusted.

PARLAY BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE + OVER 2.5 GOALS

Line Parameter: 3% to -190, 2% to -210