MLS

(209829) Real Salt Lake at (209830) Austin FC

No doubt RSL has been much better at home than away, as pretty much every MLS team, but this is a good opportunity for them to get points with at least a draw against a weak Austin side who have three losses and a draw in their last four matches including two 0-1 home losses to Houston and Vancouver.  

On the season, Austin only has six home wins in 15 matches and only one over their last seven.  Austin owns the 2nd worst xG differential in the league this season at -0.49 and at home, they have the worst at -0.24.

RSL ranks 4th in the league at +0.36 per match and while that does drop to -0.21 away from home, they still only have four losses on the road.  There is only one team in the entire league that has a positive xG differential on the road (Columbus), so coming in at -0.21 is actually one of the better numbers out there.

Austin must win to keep their playoff hopes alive and RSL can clinch a playoff spot with a win, though a draw is just fine as well, only delaying them clinching maybe one more week.  The pressure is all on Austin here and I'm not confident they can deliver.

TAKE REAL SALT LAKE +0.25

Line Parameter: 3% to -140