UEFA Champions League

(224221) Young Boys at (224222) Barcelona FC

Would have loved to get -2.5, but it's priced at -150 and I don't see that coming back down, this likely moves to -3.0 by kickoff.

I like Barcelona coming off a loss here, there first of the season losing 2-4 at Osasuna this past weekend.  Now at home against a much inferior team in the Champions League, this should be a great spot for them to “tee off” on Young Boys and win this match 4-0 or 5-0. 

Aston Villa beat Young Boys 3-0 on MatchDay 1 in their house and I fear they are in for a long night in Barcelona as the Spanish attack is even more dangerous than Villa's.  At home, the Swiss side generated only 0.4 xG and they would be extremely lucky to even hit that in this match.  

There are better days ahead for Young Boys as they will face Crvena Zvezda, Celtic, Stuttgart and Shakhtar in future matches, but this is not one in which they will expect to earn points.  They will likely setup defensively and see how long they can hold off Barcelona, but once the first goal goes in, the chase is on and Barcelona should add a few more to their tally.

TAKE BARCELONA -2.75

Line Parameter: 5% to -130, 4% to -150