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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(200097) Bournemouth at (200098) Everton

Event:
(200097) Bournemouth at (200098) Everton
Sport/League:
EPL
Date/Time:
August 31, 2024 10AM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-120
Play:
3% – (200097) Bournemouth at (200098) Everton REGULATION Total Over 2.5 (-120)
Result:
Win
Analysis

Everton vs Bournemouth
EPL, Saturday, 10am ET

Play: 3% Over 2.5 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -120
Line Parameter: Playable to -130, otherwise take the Over 2.75 Goals

Two teams that have zero wins after two matches will lock horns on Saturday, when Everton (W0 D0 L2) will play host to Bournemouth (W0 D2 L0), and we like goals here. 

Everton are 3-0 to the Over 2.5 goals, after losing to Brighton by 3-0, then to Tottenham by 4-0 but won mid-week in the EFL Cup by 3-0 against Doncaster. Tough schedule to start the season, thus the poor start, but they have another tough match coming up after the international break (away at Aston Villa), so if they don't beat Bournemouth they will be stuck inside the relegation zone. And they might want to score a couple of goals as well, as they have the worst goal difference (-7) and that's the first tiebreaker at the end of the season, so improving it now will probably come a long way. 

On the same note, Bournemouth started off with a 1-1 draw at Nottingham, then forced another 1-1 draw at home against Newcastle, while losing 1-0 to West Ham in the EFL Cup mid-week. But looking at the stats, there should have definitely be more goals in all 3 matches, and I expect their unrealistic 3-0 run to the Under 2.5 goals to come to an end. There is also a sense of urgency to get a win, as they have a really tough schedule coming up after the break. They play vs Chelsea at home, vs Liverpool on the road, then they have two (theoretically) easy matches against Southampton and Leicester, but then they host Arsenal, away at Villa and hosting Manchester City, so they will struggle to get points then. 

And this is a match-up for goals, with both H2H matches last season going to the Over 2.5 Goals (3-0 and 2-1), and now on a 6-1 run to the Over 2.5 Goals, and 10-2 in L/12, while also 5-2 to the Over 2.5 goals in H2H matches in this venue. 
Neither team will settle for a draw here, they both need the win so don't expect them to sit at a 1-1. We like the Over 2.5 Goals. 

Take 3u on the Over 2.5 Goals (-120), playable to -130, otherwise take the Over 2.75 Goals

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