Pavlos Laguretos
(216585) Georgia at (216586) Albania
Albania vs Georgia
UEFA Nations League, Tuesday, 2:45pm ET
Play: Over 2 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -135
Line Parameter: Playable to -140, otherwise take 2u on the Over 2.25 Goals, or 1u on Both Teams to Score
Albania came back from one goal behind to beat Ukraine by 2-1 on the road and now 3 of their L/4 matches had Over 2.5 goals, with the only exception of a 0-1 loss to Spain in the EUROs. In fact, 13 of their L/16 competitive matches had 2 goals or more, with 7 of those going to the Over 2.5 Goals.
Now Albania are hosting a very dangerous Georgia team that just blasted the Czech Republic by a strong 4-1 at home. Now each of L/5 and 19 of L/21 Georgia's matches had 2 goals or more, with 13 of those going to the Over 2.5 Goals.
Both Teams to Score is definitely an option here (at -110), but in this case I feel more comfortable in taking the Over 2 Goals, which offers the protection of a push if there are exactly 2 goals in this match (for example a 1-1 draw or a 2-0 win for either side).
Take 3u on the Over 2 Goals (-135), playable to -140, otherwise take 2u on the Over 2.25 Goals or 1u on the Both Teams to Score.
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