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Pavlos Laguretos

Pavlos Laguretos

(203269) Marseille at (203270) Strasbourg

Event:
(203269) Marseille at (203270) Strasbourg
Sport/League:
FL1
Date/Time:
September 29, 2024 2PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-124
Play:
4% – (203269) Marseille at (203270) Strasbourg REGULATION Total Over 2.75 (-124)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Strasbourg vs Marseille
Ligue 1, Sunday, 2:45pm ET

Play: Over 2.75 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -124
Line Parameter: Playable to -135, otherwise take the Over 3 Goals

Strasbourg have been one of the teams in France that made a lot of solid additions to their roster in the off-season, they are playing very good and offensive soccer up front, but with a leaky defense. They have scored in all 5 matches so far (W1 D3 L1), scoring 3+ goals in 3 of 5 matches, but keeping zero clean sheets and conceding 3+ goals in 2 of 5. Both Teams to Score is 5-0 and Over 2.5 Goals is 3-2, with Strasbourg scoring 3 goals vs Lille, Lyon and Rennes, teams that are among the best in the league. 

Marseille did the unthinkable on the road against Lyon last week, as they were left with 10 men early but still came back to win that match by 3-2. A testament of how strong this Marseille side is this season, with a completely different roster and a new coach that has them playing like champions. Marseille are W4 D1 L0 so far in the season, scoring in all 5 and scoring 2+ goals in all 5 matches (and scoring 3+ goals in 3 of 5), but keeping just 1 clean sheet. Both Teams to Score is 4-1 and Over 2.5 goals is 4-1. 

Both H2H matches last season finished at 1-1, but under different circumstances, and the two H2H matches the season before that finished at 2-2. This season there have been 21 goals in Strasbourg's 5 matches (average of 4.2 goals/match) and 21 goals in Marseille's matches as well. Both teams are playing very good offensively, but leaky at the back. 
We definitely like the Over 2.75 Goals here, a split line between Over 2.5 and Over 3 Goals. This match looks like it starts at 1-1 and we need one more goal to cash this ticket. 

Take 4% on the Over 2.75 Goals (-124), playable to -135, otherwise take the Over 3 Goals or a Same Game Parlay with Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (-110)

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