I will make this short. This is without a doubt my favorite play of the weekend and it is not only a play on the Falcons, but it is also a bet against the Steelers. 

Let’s start with Atlanta: I am very high on this team and think they will be sneaky good and have a shot at doing some damage this year. I have already put out a 3% bet on them winning the division (so please bet that at -120) and I think they slaughter this Pitt team Sunday. First off, this team is absolutely loaded with talent on the O side of the ball. Between London, Pitts and Bijon, they have 3 absolutely monster weapons and now they have one of the best QBs in football. Yes I think Kirk Cousins is a top QB and he is very hungry to win. I look at this Offense and think they can be a top 5 unit when all is said and done. Now I know they don’t have the world’s best D unit, but that will only matter when they play teams that can score. Sunday, they play Pitt and I think this Pitt team is a total disaster. I think we see Tomlin have his 1st losing season ever and I think this Pitt team will be hard pressed to win 7 games. Led by a decrepit QB who has not had a good season in 3 years, this team boasts a WR core of a Pickens, Van Jefferson and a bunch of who. I like Harris at RB, but man their passing game is going to be one of the worst in the league. As for their D unit, they have TJ Watt who is amazing (maybe the best), but Hayward is 100 years old and I don’t see them having a world class pass rush. Their secondary is good, but not great, but I do believe their D is what will keep them in games. 

Here we have a hungry, talented, young (minus Kirk) Falcons team, playing at home and only laying 3 points against a team that I believe will be one of the worst in football. 

As a professional bettor, I want to get ahead of teams and I think if these teams played 6 weeks from now the line will be the Falcons -7.5. There is just so much value here and we are going to take it thank you.

Take the Falcons -3 for a 5% play and if the line goes to 4, just lower the unit to a 4% bet. 

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