NE TT Under 16.5 -125

• I am looking to take the Under in every pats game, as they have a rock solid D, a great secondary and will be the most conservative offense in the league.
• The reason, we are going to take the TT instead of the Under is honestly this line is too low for a Bengals game. This is a team that can score and score fast and there is no reason to think they can’t put 24 on the board. With that said, I do like the Under a lot in this game, but just think the NE TT is a better bet.
• If the Bengals win 28-14, it goes over the total, but we still win our NE TT Under.
• This Pats team is going will grind the clock out. Not only do I think we see them need 3 plays to get 10 yards all game long, but their D is good enough to make their opponents need 3 plays to get 10 yards as well.
• I see NE grinding the clock down and settling for FGs instead of TDs. I would be surprised if they put up more than 13 points in this game.
• I also think we see their D hold Cincy to a few FGs along the way and also helping to grind that clock down. Plus the longer the Cincy has the ball, the less chance NE has to get over their TT total.
• If Chase doesn’t play, I think this helps our bet, as Chase is their deep threat and I think we see Cincy resort to more small ball. Furthermore, it will also help keep Cincy’s overall score down, so NE will not have to go for it behind by 3 scores in the 4th quarter.
• I think we see a 20-10, 20-13 type game
• The Pats averaged under 14 points a game last year and honestly have done nothing personal wise to suggest anything will change.
• NE TT Under 16.5