#917 4% Houston w/ Verlander -151 Cincinnati w/ Aguiar

System – Team as a HD of greater than 110 off an extra inning game in which they used 3+ pitchers are now playing game #1 of a series with no rest are 34-97 (26%, -40% ROI).

The Astros are on an 18-7 run including a 13-2 (87%) run as a favorite of -120 and higher. Houston has also won 5 straight with the average win 6.2 to 1.8. They are also 12-3 as an AF of more than -110.

Verlander’s road ERA is 1.21 better on the road than at home. 

The rookie Aguiar is making his 4th start and he has a 6.43 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP.

Cincy is on a 5-12 run including 2-8 at home with the average loss by a score of 8.25 to 2.62. The Reds have not topped 4 runs in their L6 games as a dog avg 2.5 runs/gm.