Ralph Michaels
(193) Indiana at (194) UCLA
5% UCLA +3 Indiana
I make UCLA an 8 pt favorite!
Yes UCLA struggled in their opener only beating Hawaii 16-13 and Indiana avg’d 54 PGG and held their two foes to 152 YPG but the schedule is the reason and this line is a massive overaction.
Ucla with a very unique schedule as they played Hawaii with the Warriors at home playing their second game and after one game the Bruins had a bye. Home Dogs playing their second game with a bye are 61.4% ATS since 2000. The Bruins could prep for the Hoosiers all week and that prep edge is even more important with both teams having new head coaches.
The Hoosiers beat FIU 31-7 but they were a 25.5 pt HF and FIU was #127 LY on offense. Indiana also beat Western Illinois 77-3 but as a 45 pt AF. The Hoosiers are 1-13 SU on the road since October of 2021 and now they are an AF?
Teams line Indiana off a game vs a cupcake (Fav of -34.5 and higher) vs a team trailed by up to 2 TD’s and won are 33% ATS.