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Ralph Michaels

Ralph Michaels

(181) UL Monroe at (182) Troy

Event:
(181) UL Monroe at (182) Troy
Sport/League:
CFB
Date/Time:
September 28, 2024 3PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-110
Play:
3% – (181) UL Monroe at (182) Troy Total Under 46.0 (-110)
Result:
Win
Analysis

(181) UL Monroe at (182) Troy

3% Total Under 46.0 (-110)

While it is a low total there is still value with these two teams.
There are 134 teams in the FBS and these two are #125 and #129 in the number of plays/gm they have run. ULM has avg’d only 56.7 plays/gm while Troy has avg’d 57.8. 

The ULM offense is #129 in YPG and #129 in yds/pl and #128 in explosive plays of 20+ yards.

Teams like ULM that lost last match-up and that lost their last game by 47+ points and their opponent has 2+ losses are 75% to the Under (6-19) the L3Y and 24-44-2 (65% to Under).

Sun Belt teams when a teams off a loss by 1-+ points and the turnover margin was two or less in the last meeting are 30-63 (68% to the Under).

If home team last game went Over and they lost with under 105 pass yards are 73-119 O/U (62% to Under)

 

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