FRIST HALF #168 5% Memphis -14 Middle Tenn St  7:30 PM
My power rating makes Memphis a 31 pt fav.

While it is difficult to fathom a conference game being a flat spot that may have been the case with Memphis off the Florida St upset vs their former coach. The Tigers rush D was not tested early and it is difficult to face the option on a second straight road game after the upset. Memphis win their first two home games this season by 61 points. With Satterfield Memphis is 10-5-1 ATS off a loss as a favorite or dog to +6.5. This season the avg 1H score is 20.6 to 10.6 with the avg 2H score 15.0 to 11.8.

Middle is not only 0-4 but they have failed to cover by 55 points or by almost 2 TD’s per game.

Blue Raiders are #125 in Yards/play diff, #132 in PPG diff, #130 in defense and #130 in explosive plays allowed (Memphis offense is #6 in the number of offensive explosive plays).
Satterfield is 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS as a Fav of -18 and higher with the non-cover vs FCS Bethune-Cookman in a game they led 56-17 and gave up a TD with 85 second left. 
Middle Tenn avg score for the 1H is 8.4 to 23.0 (-15.4 PPG) and 9.7 to 19.8 (-10.1 PPG).