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Ralph Michaels

Ralph Michaels

2 Team 7-point teaser

Event:
2 Team 7-point teaser
Sport/League:
NFL
Date/Time:
September 29, 2024 1PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-140
Play:
3% – 3% Teaser – NYJ -1.5 w/ KC -1
Result:
Loss
Analysis

3% Two Team 7-pt Teaser (-140)

Leg #1 – NY Jets -0.5 Denver 
Leg #2 Kansas City pk LA Chargers
NYJ -  Jets with 55% passes and Denver is allowing 72% completions. 

Jets D is as rested as possible as there were on the field for ONLY 41 plays LW (teams off Win & Under with D under 48 plays are 28-12, 70% ATS).
Teams off an upset win as a dog of +6 and higher and now getting +6 and higher again are 24-59-1 ATS (28.9%) and 10-70 (12.5%) if fading in a teaser. 
KC – The Chargers may be 2-1 but unimpressed as their D is allowing 75% completions as that is versus a non-gauntlet of Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young, and Justin Fields. 

Home teams that rushed for 64 yards or less last game and the opposition has 1 or fewer losses are 18-50-1 (26.5%) and 8-6-1 (11.5%) if fading on a teaser. 

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