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Ralph Michaels

Ralph Michaels

MNF same game parlay

Event:
MNF same game parlay
Sport/League:
NFL
Date/Time:
September 30, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
2%
Odds:
-120
Play:
2% – DET +3 and Det OVER 40
Result:
Win
Analysis

2% Alt Line Parlay from DK

Leg #1 - Detroit +3 -303
Leg #2 - SEA/DET Over 40 -266

Going the conservative route by risking 2%

Yes these teams are #3 and #4 in YPG diff but Seattle has faced a bottom 4 schedule and at QB they have faced rookie Nix, Brissett at NE, and Thompson and Boyle vs Miami making their defensive number very skewed. 

Lions two home game went Under this season but they had 463 yards vs TB and only scored 16 points.

Undefeated road teams off a Home win by 10+ pts as a Fav /Dog to +6.5 are 63.1% to Over since 2013

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