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(387) Boise State at (388) Oregon   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 4%

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 61.5 (-110))

Date/Time: Sep 7, 2024 10:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus

4% Boise State @ Oregon

The 24 points posted by Oregon last week could absolutely be categorized as deceiving. Football handicapping numbers tell us that 31 first downs, 380 passing yards on 82% completions (41/50) with 0 int’s & 487 total yards just don’t correlate to 24 points. Yet that’s what the Ducks scored last week in QB Dillon Gabriel’s strong debut. That was versus Idaho which is an FCS playoff caliber team so the stats aren’t some totally non-legit set that should be discounted. What should be expected is that the Oregon offense shows up with a far more efficient and scoreboard productive outing here against Boise State which just allowed 45 points to warp speed Georgia Southern. The fact that the Eagles just passed for 322 and gained 461 total enroute to those 45 points in only 3 quarters should have Oregon ready to erupt offensively. Flip side is Broncos offense which scored 4 TD’s from outside the redzone (26,38,75 & 77 yards) can be a thorn in the side of Oregon’s defense here. RB Ashton Jeanty carries an NFL 1st round draft choice tag on him so the Ducks will likely have their full attention on him. That opens the door for Broncos QB Maddux Madsen & the play action passing game. Boise’s trench play across the offensive front has proven capable of opening running lanes and pass protecting s Ducks highly touted squad likely to be tested defensively. See this number as a shade low and vulnerable for matchup that figures to result in high octane scores and 64+ points.        

Play: Boise State-Oregon OVER 61.5