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(109) Arizona at (110) Kansas State   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: 3%

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 60.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Sep 13, 2024 8:00 PM / Line Provider: Consensus

3% Arizona @ Kansas State

Kansas State has been a 30+ point offensive machine going 13-3 since the start of last season. At home that number gets even stronger as KSU has scored 35 or more in all of their home games since last year with 7 of those netting 40+ points. Potential exists for another copy of that in this matchup against the Arizona defense which allowed 39 points to New Mexico in their only FBS game. K-State dual threat QB Avery Johnson poses identical style of threat that UNM QB Devon Dampier did at Arizona in Week #1. Dampier lit them up for 260 through the air (24/42/3 TD) & 130 on the ground (8.7 per carry & 2 TD’s) so look for Johnson to rack up large numbers. Flip side is explosiveness of balanced Arizona offense led by QB Noah Fafita & probable NFL 1st round WR Tetairoa McMillan. Visiting Wildcats also possess pair of RB’s averaging 8.2 & 9.0 ypc giving mid-level KSU defense a lot to deal with. Last week’s subpar effort at Tulane & redshirt Freshman QB Darian Mensah (348 pasing yards in just his 2nd career start) exposed K-State as a very vulnerable defense. In all the Green Wave hung 491 total yards on them. Must also note that it was Tulane’s first FBS game in new HC Jon Sumrall’s offense. Envisioning Fafiita & the experienced Arizona offense posting similar numbers making this a shootout type game that eclipses the current total.                      

Play: Arizona-Kansas State OVER 60.5