The Colts’ offense, led by QB Anthony Richardson, has shown potential, particularly with a strong offensive line and a balanced run game. Richardson’s dual-threat capability could exploit the Texans' defense, which I expect to struggle against mobile quarterbacks. Indianapolis also benefits from an improved receiving corps, which can create mismatches against Houston’s secondary.

Defensively, the Colts are solid, especially against the run. The Colts’ pass rush, led by DeForest Buckner, should put pressure on Stroud, forcing him into quick decisions.

The Colts are likely to control the game tempo through their running game and solid defense. Richardson’s ability to extend plays with his legs, combined with the Colts’ ground game, should keep the Texans' defense off balance. The Colts’ defense, meanwhile, is poised to stifle Houston’s offense, creating opportunities for turnovers and keeping the Texans from finding a rhythm.

The Colts are positioned to cover the spread due to their balanced offensive attack and strong defensive front, both of which match up well against the Texans’ potential weak spots this season.

Take the Colts plus the points.