Home favorites coming off a loss and at least four straight road games are just 3-14-1 ATS since 2019. This unfavorable spot is exactly where the Dream find themselves today.

Since the Olympic break, the Wings' offense has been on fire, largely thanks to the return of Satou Sabally to the lineup. The only time their offense has shown signs of struggle was against the New York Liberty, who have been playing exceptional defense lately. Outside of that, the Wings have been consistently strong on the offensive end.

While the Wings' defense has had its issues, the Dream are currently having a tough time shooting efficiently from the field. This matchup is unlikely to be a defensive battle, but the Wings' offense has the potential to take over.

I'm backing the Wings plus the points in this spot.