I don't agree with the total moving up for this matchup. Both defenses have been outstanding since the Olympic break, and the Aces' defense, in particular, has ramped up their ability to force turnovers. I’m expecting a slow-paced, defensive-minded game with a playoff atmosphere between these two championship contenders.

Looking at the trends, the Aces are 7-3 to the under in recent games, while the Liberty are 4-0 to the under as home favorites. Additionally, when the Liberty are more rested than their opponent, they are 7-3 to the under, primarily due to their strong defensive effort. In those ten games, their opponents are 9-1 to their team total under.

With both teams likely to lean on their defense in this high-stakes matchup, I’m backing the under in this game.