Ronald Cabang
(601) Minnesota Lynx at (602) Atlanta Dream
The Lynx have struggled when playing at least their second game on the road, going 2-6 ATS and 5-2-1 to the under in those situations. As road favorites, they are just 1-4 ATS and 4-1 to the under, showing a clear pattern of underperforming and lower-scoring games in these spots.
The Dream, on the other hand, have been solid as home underdogs against non-conference opponents, going 4-0-1 ATS. Additionally, they are 4-2-1 ATS and 5-2 to the under as home dogs when their opponent's previous game was on the road. This trend suggests they tend to cover the spread and keep games low-scoring when their opponent is in a less favorable travel situation.
Since the Olympic break, both teams have been playing at a much slower pace, with the Dream ranking last in pace during this stretch. This slower tempo should contribute to a lower-scoring game overall.
Given these trends and angles, I'm taking the Dream ATS and the under.