Leicester has had a tough season, but they’ve shown signs of breaking through. Despite being ranked 20th in expected goals, they’ve managed to net 8 goals so far, indicating that they can take their chances when opportunities present themselves. With 7 assists to their name and Stephy Mavididi leading the attack, Leicester's offensive output has been decent, even if their defense has been vulnerable.

Bournemouth has struggled defensively, allowing 8 goals already this season, which ranks them 12th in the EPL for goals conceded. They also rank lower in expected goals against, sitting at 8.6 for the year, suggesting that they give up too many quality chances to their opponents. Despite having Kepa Arrizabalaga in goal, Bournemouth’s defense has shown gaps that can be exploited by a team like Leicester, especially on the road.

Leicester may not have a clean sheet this season, but their keeper Mads Hermansen has shown to be a solid shot-stopper, boasting a 72.3% save rate in his career. The team averages 2.00 goals allowed per 90 minutes, but the fact that they’ve been up against some tough opposition contributes to that stat.

Betting on Leicester City at +0.25 gives you a great safety net. If the game ends in a draw, you win half your stake. But I think Leicester has a great shot at winning this outright at home.