West Virginia has plenty of experience returning from a team that went 9-4 a season ago and that includes 5-1 at home. Most notably, quarterback Garret Greene returns who has made 22 career starts. The Mountaineers will be playing with revenge stemming from last year's 38-15 loss at Penn State. They'll be facing a nationally ranked opponent in Penn State who's coming off a 10-3 season and is 18-10 in their last 22 away games. The Mountaineers will make this a lot more interesting than Nittany Lions backers will be comfortable with. I wouldn't be shocked to see an outright upset but will refrain from getting greedy and take the points.

Any college football non-conference home underdog of 3.0 or greater that's playing in their season opener, and they won 7 or more games the year before, and they won 16 or less games out of the last 22 played, versus an opponent that won 5 or more games the year before and they won 20 or less of their last 28 away games, resulted in those home underdogs going 15-1 ATS (93.8%) since 2014. Those home underdogs also won 7 of those 16 games straight up.

Give me West Virginia plus points.