Joe Musgrove has been lights out over his last 5 starts with a brilliant 1.13 ERA/0.75. However, there's a catch he only averaged 4.8 innings pitched per start over those 5 outings. Musgrove will be facing a Cardinals team which has averaged only 3.4 runs scored per game throughout their previous 24 outings.

Andre Pallante has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 1.88 ERA/1.02 WHIP. 

Both bullpens have been solid in recent weeks, but I wouldn't classify that stretch as dominant for either. For that reason, I am going to shorten the game. Since the first 5.0 inning total exceeds 50% of the game total it further provides us with additional betting value.

Give me this game to under the total for a first 5.0 innings wager.