You may be surprised to know that the Kansas City Chiefs have played 17-3 (85%) to the under in their last 20 home games. That includes a perfect 12-0 to the under if they were a home favorite of 10.5 or less and there was a combined average of only 39.0 points scored per game. Conversely, the Baltimore Ravens have played 7-2 to the under in their last 9 as an away underdog of 3.0 or less. Depending on the sportsbook, the Ravens are a 2.5 or 3.0-point underdog at the time of this writing (8/28). Since 2018, NFL season opening games with a point-spread of 4.0 or less either way have played 4-0 to the under and with a combined average score of only 31.3 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go under the total.

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