South Carolina barely escaped with a late winning touchdown in a season opening 23-18 home win over Old Dominion. The Gamecocks didn't come close to cover as a 20.5-point favorite and were extremely fortunate to just win the game.

Kentucky is coming off a workmanlike 31-0 home win over Southern Miss in their season opener and covered as a substantial 25.5-point favorite. This is a very experienced Wildcats team that ranks 14th nationally in returning production rate.

Since the start of the 2017 season, any college football home favorite of 15.5 or less that's playing Game 2 of their season and is coming off a home favorite ATS cover in their season opener, and they won 26 or fewer of their last 28 home games, resulted in those home favorites going 9-0 SU&ATS. The average line in those 9 contests was 7.7 and the home teams won by a decisive average margin of 18.1 points per game.

Give me Kentucky minus points.