Cincinnati is coming off a gut-wrenching 26-25 loss at Kansas City. Couple that with a shocking 16-10 home loss to New England in their season opener and they find themselves in a 0-2 hole. However, the Bengals defense has played very well in those losses while holding Kansas City to 286 yards and New England to 290 yards of total offense.

Washington has been a run heavy offense through 2 games while amassing 65 rushing attempts and just 53 pass attempts in those contests. Despite starting a rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, Washington has yet to commit a turnover. The Commanders defense will be facing a Cincinnati pass happy offense that has very little in the way of any running game through 2 games. Specifically speaking, 63.1% of their offensive plays have been passes. Yet they average only 200 yards passing per game.

Since the start of the 2015 NFL season, any Monday night team with a total of between 43.0 and 49.0 that's coming off a road loss in which they allowed 23 points or more, resulted in these games playing 35-2 (94%) to the under.

Give me this game to go under the total.