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Scott Rickenbach

Scott Rickenbach

(216421) Bulgaria at (216422) Belarus

Event:
(216421) Bulgaria at (216422) Belarus
Sport/League:
UEFA
Date/Time:
September 5, 2024 2PM EDT
Play Rating:
3%
Odds:
-120
Play:
3% – (216421) Bulgaria at (216422) Belarus REGULATION Total Over 2.0 (-120)
Result:
Loss
Analysis

3% Rotation #216421: Nations League | League C: Thursday 3% OVER 2 -120 in Belarus vs Bulgaria @ 2:45 ET in Hungary - The host in this match is Belarus but the match is taking place in Hungary which is a neutral site which certainly this favors Bulgaria. They enter this one as the favorite for a reason. We get a low total of 2 goals here and I am going with a higher rating of 3% on this one as I like the value of 2 being a push here though I fully expect 3 or more goals as otherwise I would not be involved. Note that Belarus allowed 4 goals each to Israel and Russia in June in friendly action. In most recent competitive fixtures in Euro Qualifying action they had some low-scoring results but that was dependent on the opponent and the type of style they played. Some of those were weaker foes and defensive-minded clubs and were 1-0 battles. I expect nothing of the sort here and note that Belarus was also involved in a 3-3 draw with Switzerland and also in March and June of last year all 4 of their matches totaled at least 3 goals. Bulgaria enters this one off some lower-scoring battles but, again, this had a lot to do with who they were facing and these were friendlies. If you look at their competitive fixtures, Bulgaria has not only allowed 2 goals in 4 straight matches, they also have scored a goal in 3 of the 4 including scoring twice in each of their last two matches. 7 straight Bulgaria competitive matches have totaled at least 2 goals and 4 of those totaled 3 or more. So we are testing a run here in competitive matches that is undefeated last 7 and also going for a 5-0 record in terms of 3 or more goals scored. Look for solid scoring here in this one and a 2-1 type battle. Bulgaria has both scored and conceded in 5 of last 6 competitive matches. 3% OVER 2 -120 in Belarus

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