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Steve Merril

Steve Merril

(357) Sam Houston St at (358) Central Florida

Event:
(357) Sam Houston St at (358) Central Florida
Sport/League:
CFB
Date/Time:
September 7, 2024 6PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-105
Play:
4% – Central Florida -21.5 (-105)
Result:
Win
Analysis

-Sam Houston State comes in off an upset as 9.5-point underdogs at Rice; major letdown spot
-offense will be face a real defense now; my model projects just 10 points on less than 250 yards
-Bearkats defense will get demolished by the run and the pass; projected to allow over 550 yards

-Central Florida has shown a willingness to blowout inferior teams under HC Gus Malzahn
-offense scored 57 points in their win last week; projected for another 45+ point game here
-Knights defense will be ready for another strong effort; speed and talent; good matchup

4% Play CENTRAL FLORIDA (-).

Line Parameter: 4% play (-23.5 or less).  3% play (-24 or more). 

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