3% Take Green Bay (#453)

Matt LaFleur has been an underdog on opening day four times in his five year tenure with the Packers. Green Bay has won three of those four opening day tries as underdogs in SU fashion, including an 18 point victory at +1 in Jordan Love’s starting debut last year.

Since their fraudulent 10-1 start last year, the Eagles have gone 1-6 SU, the lone victory coming against the hapless Giants at home on Monday Night Football last December.  The offseason has been littered with published reports about the disconnect between starting QB Jalen Hurts and head coach Nick Sirianni.  The Eagles have two new coordinators for the second consecutive season.  Only six teams allowed more yards than Philly last year -- this is no elite defense.  Don’t underestimate the effect of the loss of starting center Jason Kelce this past offseason, especially given that Hurts is coming off a ‘career high in interceptions’ season.  Bottom line: the betting markets are higher on Philly than I am right now.

And Green Bay, just like last year down the stretch, has all the makings of a ‘bet-on’ team in 2024. Green Bay as an underdog?  4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS in their last five tries, including SU wins over the Lions, Chiefs and Cowboys.  Wrong team favored in this matchup, but I’ll take the points -- not the moneyline -- due to concerns about the Packers kicking game heading into the Friday Night opener in Brazil.  Take the Packers.

Important Note!  Line Parameter: 3% at +3 or higher, 2.5% at +2.5 or lower.  No rush to bet this now if you can't find a +3; we could see +3's widely available closer to kickoff